Final early voting records from Texas, Georgia, and now North Carolina show Democrats benefiting from an “engagement gap” ...
While low-engagement voters favored Trump over Kamala Harris by 13 points in 2024, low-engagement likely voters now favor Democrats in congressional races by 2 points. That’s a 15-point swing toward ...
As of writing, Democrats have won back their majorities in the U.S. House and Senate in a historic thumpin’ for the Republican Party. That Democrats have won both chambers is not a surprise — our ...
Latino voters more than doubled, from 1.5% of early voters to 3.4%, and voters under 30 went from 8% to 11%. And Republicans under 45 cast fewer early ballots than they did in 2022 — even as the total ...
New here? Strength In Numbers is an independent, data-driven publication that analyzes U.S. politics and elections, often using original datasets we collect or fund ourselves. SIN is written primarily ...
Our new November Strength in Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats leading the 2026 U.S. House generic ballot, 47% to 42% for Republicans. In a survey experiment, when respondents are told ...
A reminder for Founding Members: our private pre-election briefing with Strength In Numbers and The Downballot is this Tuesday, October 27, at 6:30 p.m. ET. Details here. And I’ll be live on election ...
This post is part of The Data Lab, a dedicated section of Strength In Numbers for extra charts, general polling wonkery, and methods work that can be a little too nerdy for the normal editorial ...
A mailbag episode about Democrats’ huge early voting numbers, the almost-final polls in key Senate races, and everything else ...
In 2024, the voters who knew the least about politics were some of Donald Trump’s strongest supporters. A Data for Progress poll released just before the election found Americans who didn’t consume ...
Last week, The New York Times ran a great story about residents of a small Missouri town coming to grips with the consequences of Donald Trump’s mass deportation policy. The story focuses on the ...
This week’s main read: A prominent pollster admitted this week to re-doing polls so they match the conventional wisdom. That’s a huge infraction for public pollsters that could bias our averages in a ...
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