As I pointed out previously, the overhang campaign did not actually see National lose party vote in the three months since it launched. NaNational lost party vote prior to that campaign, but in fact ...

This looks at how each party did with advance voting compared to the voting on the day. Two thirds advance voted and one third voted on the day. National got almost exactly the same proportion in ...

The election outcome has me both relieved, and sad. It's an emotional conflict which I have had a lot of lately (a family member recently died after a long period with Alzheimers). I am relieved ...

The path to power for Chris Hipkins is incredibly small. At the moment the count is 67 for the Government, 57 for Labour/Greens/TPM and seven for Opportunity so 67 to 64. There is a decent chance that ...

There are provisionally 131 MPs, a record high, in the 55th Parliament of New Zealand. There are 71 electorate MPs and 60 list MPs. On Patreon, I have done a detailed analysis of the breakdown of not ...

Here are the provisional results vs the final pre-election polls. The difference for each company vs the results was: So Curia had an average error of 0.5%, which I am obviously very pleased with. And ...

The bean counters at the Taxpayers’ Union have done a final update on the extra spending that each party is promising. So there are two fiscally responsible parties, two fiscally irresponsible parties ...

The results so far have 67 seats for the Government parties and 64 seats for the others. National has 42 electorate seats. Those with a small majority are: Hamilton East 456 Wairarapa 139 It is quite ...

The Government currently has 67 seats out of 131, so a majority of three. They are in a good position to remain Government, but what could change with the final votes? I have modelled below what the ...

Te Pāti Māori announced in August that they did not want party votes. They explicitly said they want to create overhang. Their MPs did not even party vote for TPM. And their strategy worked. In 2023 ...

Sir Henry Morgan For decades there’s been a steady push to reduce the rights of those accused of rape and get more convictions. This includes proposals to remove juries from rape trials, making ...