Seeking Alpha

Is A 90% Probability Strategy A Holy Grail?

Are 90% probability strategies a Holy Grail? High Probability or High Risk/Reward? A 90% winning ratio can still lose money. A lot of options traders consider a 90% probability strategy a Holy Grail ...

Probability underlies much of the modern world – an engineering professor explains how it actually works

Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...
T&D

Risk Equals Probability Times Consequences

An OIP bushing failure on the 400-kV, 100-MVAR reactor caused this reactor fire. A large percentage of the power transformers in commission contain large quantities of mineral oil. While the ...
Princeton University

CHAPTER 1: PROBABILITY

"Yes or no: was there once life on Mars?" I can't say. "What about intelligent life?"' That seems most unlikely, but again, I can't really say. The simple yes-or-no framework has no place for shadings ...
The Conversation

Probability underlies much of the modern world – an engineering professor explains how it actually works

Zachary del Rosario has received funding from the National Science Foundation and Toyota Research Institute. Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand ...